基于倾向性评分匹配的重症急性胰腺炎合并坏死积聚和持续性器官衰竭早期干预预后研究

李开明, 卜旻淳, 张敬柱, 周晶, 叶博, 李刚, 柯路, 童智慧, 刘玉秀, 李维勤

中国实用外科杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (12) : 1436-1442.

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中国实用外科杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (12) : 1436-1442. DOI: 10.19538/j.cjps.issn1005-2208.2025.12.17
论著

基于倾向性评分匹配的重症急性胰腺炎合并坏死积聚和持续性器官衰竭早期干预预后研究

作者信息 +

Prognostic impact of early intervention in severe acute pancreatitis with necrotic collection and persistent organ failure: a propensity score-matched analysis

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文章历史 +

摘要

目的 评估早期经皮穿刺置管引流术(PCD)对重症急性胰腺炎(SAP)合并急性坏死积聚(ANC)和持续性器官衰竭(POF)病人临床预后的影响。方法 回顾性分析2015年1月至2022年12月东部战区总医院重症胰腺炎中心连续收治的310例SAP合并ANC和POF病人临床资料。依据病程4周内是否行PCD分为早期干预组148例和标准治疗组162例。采用1∶1倾向性评分匹配(PSM)平衡基线差异,匹配变量包括序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分、腹内压(IAP)、CT严重指数(CTSI)、镇静药物使用、瑞芬太尼当量及合并症。以90 d病死率为主要结局,以主要并发症发生率、开放手术比例及住院时间为次要结局,比较两组临床结局差异,并分析感染学特征及早期干预相关因素。结果 PSM后每组纳入85例病人。早期干预组与标准治疗组90 d病死率差异无统计学意义(24.71% vs.17.65%,P=0.260),Kaplan-Meier生存曲线比较差异亦无统计学意义。早期干预组主要并发症发生率更高(72.94% vs. 49.41%,P=0.002),其中感染性胰腺坏死(IPN)发生率显著高于标准治疗组(100.00% vs.43.53%,P<0.001),住院时间显著延长[34.00(22.00,63.00)d vs.25.00(15.00,39.00)d,P=0.005]。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,CTSI评分≥8分、SOFA总分≥9分、IAP>15 mmHg(1 mmHg=0.133 kPa)、肾衰竭不缓解及神志障碍不缓解是早期干预的独立危险因素。结论 对于SAP合并ANC和POF病人,早期PCD干预未改善90 d生存率,且与感染性胰腺坏死发生率增加及住院时间延长相关。临床选择干预时机时需结合SOFA评分、IAP水平、CTSI、肾衰竭不缓解及神志障碍不缓解等进行综合评估,更加审慎地权衡干预风险与潜在获益。

Abstract

Objective To evaluate the impact of early percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) on clinical outcomes in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) complicated by acute necrotic collection (ANC) and persistent organ failure (POF). Methods Clinical data of 310 consecutive patients with SAP combined with ANC and POF admitted to the Severe Acute Pancreatitis Center of the Eastern Theater General Hospital between January 2015 and December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. According to whether PCD was performed within 4 weeks from disease onset, patients were divided into an early-intervention group (n=148) and a standard-treatment group (n=162). A 1∶1 propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline differences, with matching variables including Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, intra-abdominal pressure (IAP), CT severity index (CTSI), use of sedatives, remifentanil-equivalent dose, and comorbidities. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality, and secondary outcomes were the incidence of major complications, proportion of open surgery, and length of hospital stay. Differences in clinical outcomes between groups were compared, and infectious characteristics and factors associated with early intervention were analyzed. Results After PSM, 85 patients were included in each group. The 90-day mortality did not differ significantly between the early-intervention and standard-treatment groups (24.71% vs.17.65%, P=0.260), and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis also showed no significant difference. The incidence of major complications was higher in the early-intervention group than in the standard-treatment group (72.94% vs.49.41%, P=0.002), with a significantly higher rate of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) (100.00% vs.43.53%, P<0.001) and a longer hospital stay [34.00 (22.00, 63.00) days vs.25.00 (15.00, 39.00) days, P=0.005]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that CTSI ≥8, total SOFA score ≥9, IAP>15 mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa), non-resolution of renal failure, and persistent disturbed consciousness were independent factors associated with receiving early intervention. Conclusion In patients with SAP complicated by ANC and POF, early PCD does not improve 90-day survival and is associated with a higher incidence of IPN and prolonged hospital stay. When determining the timing of intervention, clinicians should comprehensively evaluate SOFA score, IAP level, CTSI, and other parameters, and more cautiously balance the risks of intervention against potential benefits.

关键词

重症急性胰腺炎 / 持续性器官衰竭 / 急性坏死积聚 / 早期干预 / 预后分析

Key words

severe acute pancreatitis / persistent organ failure / acute necrotic collection / early intervention / prognostic analysis

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导出引用
李开明, 卜旻淳, 张敬柱, . 基于倾向性评分匹配的重症急性胰腺炎合并坏死积聚和持续性器官衰竭早期干预预后研究[J]. 中国实用外科杂志. 2025, 45(12): 1436-1442 https://doi.org/10.19538/j.cjps.issn1005-2208.2025.12.17
LI Kai-ming, BU Min-chun, ZHANG Jing-zhu, et al. Prognostic impact of early intervention in severe acute pancreatitis with necrotic collection and persistent organ failure: a propensity score-matched analysis[J]. Chinese Journal of Practical Surgery. 2025, 45(12): 1436-1442 https://doi.org/10.19538/j.cjps.issn1005-2208.2025.12.17
中图分类号: R6   

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BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 7: Percutaneous drainage and transmural endoscopic drainage are both appropriate first-line, nonsurgical approaches in managing patients with walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WON). Endoscopic therapy through transmural drainage of WON may be preferred, as it avoids the risk of forming a pancreatocutaneous fistula. BEST PRACTICE ADVICE 8: Percutaneous drainage of pancreatic necrosis should be considered in patients with infected or symptomatic necrotic collections in the early, acute period (<2 weeks), and in those with WON who are too ill to undergo endoscopic or surgical intervention. Percutaneous drainage should be strongly considered as an adjunct to endoscopic drainage for WON with deep extension into the paracolic gutters and pelvis or for salvage therapy after endoscopic or surgical debridement with residual necrosis burden. 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&lt;b&gt;<i>Background:</i>&lt;/b&gt; Severe acute pancreatitis (AP) continues to be a serious gastrointestinal disease with relevant morbidity and mortality. &lt;b&gt;<i>Summary:</i>&lt;/b&gt; Successful clinical management requires close interdisciplinary cooperation and coordination from experienced gastroenterologists, intensive care physicians, surgeons, and radiologists. While the early phase of the disease is characterized by intensive care aspects that focus primarily on treatment of organ failure, later complications are characterized especially by (infected) necrotic collections. Here, we discuss current clinical standards and developments for conservative and interventional management of patients with severe AP. &lt;b&gt;<i>Key messages:</i>&lt;/b&gt; Early targeted fluid therapy within the first 48 h is critical to improve the outcome of severe AP. Thoracic epidural analgesia may have prognostically beneficial effects due to suspected anti-inflammatory effects and increased perfusion of splanchnic vessels. Enteral feeding should be started early during severe AP. Persistent organ failure (&amp;#x3e;48 h) is the strongest predictor of poor prognosis, and local complications such as infected walled-off necrosis should be primarily treated by minimally invasive endoscopic step-up approaches that are usually superior to surgical therapy options.
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Acute necrotizing pancreatitis is managed conservatively in early phase of the disease. Even minimally invasive procedure is preferred after 21 days of onset and there is a paucity of data on decision and outcomes of early radiological interventions. This study aimed to evaluate efficacy and safety of early image-guided percutaneous interventions in management of acute severe necrotizing pancreatitis.A single-center retrospective study was performed after obtaining Institutional review board approval for analyzing hospital records of patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis from January 2012 to July 2017. Seventy-eight consecutive patients with necrotizing pancreatitis and acute necrotic collections (ANC) were managed with percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) and catheter-directed necrosectomy, in early phase of the disease (< 21 days). Clinical data and laboratory parameters of the included patients were evaluated until discharge from hospital, or mortality.Overall survival rate was 73.1%. Forty-two (53.8%) patients survived with PCD alone, while the remaining 15 (19.2%) survivors needed additional necrosectomy. The timing of intervention from the start of the hospitalization to drainage was 14.3 ± 2.4 days. Significant risk factors for mortality were the presence of organ system failure, need for mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, and the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score. An APACHE II score cutoff value of 15 was a significant discriminant for predicting survival with catheter-directed necrosectomy.An early PCD of ANC in clinically deteriorating patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis, along with aggressive catheter-directed necrosectomy can avoid surgical interventions, and improve outcome in a significant proportion of patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis.
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Acute pancreatitis (AP) often presents with varying severity, with a small fraction evolving into severe AP, and is associated with high mortality. Complications such as intra-abdominal hypertension (IAH) and abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS) are intricately associated with AP.To assess the clinical implications and predictors of ACS in AP patients.We conducted a retrospective study using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database on adult AP patients, further stratified by the presence of concurrent ACS. The data extraction included demographics, underlying comorbidities, and clinical outcomes. Multivariate linear and logistic regression analyses were performed using STATA (v.14.2).Of the 1,099,175 adult AP patients, only 1,090 (0.001%) exhibited ACS. AP patients with ACS had elevated inpatient mortality and all major complications, including septic shock, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), requirement for total parenteral nutrition (TPN), and intensive care unit (ICU) admission (P < 0.01). These patients also exhibited increased odds of requiring pancreatic drainage and necrosectomy (P < 0.01). Predictor analysis identified blood transfusion, obesity (BMI ≥30), and admission to large teaching hospitals as factors associated with the development of ACS in AP patients. Conversely, age, female gender, biliary etiology of AP, and smoking were found less frequently in patients with ACS.Our study highlights the significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare resource utilization associated with the concurrence of ACS in AP patients. We identified potential factors associated with ACS in AP patients. Significantly worse outcomes in ACS necessitate the need for early diagnosis, meticulous monitoring, and targeted therapeutic interventions for AP patients at risk of developing ACS.Copyright © 2024 IAP and EPC. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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基金

国家自然科学基金项目(82270678)
南京大学医学院附属金陵医院临床专项基金项目(22LCYY-QH3)

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