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Development and validation of a risk prediction model for severe low anterior resection syndrome following radical surgery for mid-low rectal cancer
ZHANG Qing, WANG Mei-ling, WANG Yan-jun, HU Hai-yan, WANG Quan, GUO Yu-chen, SUN Xuan, SUN Jia-nan
Chinese Journal of Practical Surgery ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (11) : 1324-1328.
PDF(1606 KB)
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Development and validation of a risk prediction model for severe low anterior resection syndrome following radical surgery for mid-low rectal cancer
Objective To develop and validate a predictive model for severe low anterior resection syndrome (LARS) at 3 months after stoma reversal in patients with mid-low rectal cancer. Methods Patients with mid-low rectal cancer who underwent temporary stoma placement (n=388) were in the Department of Gastrointestinal and Colorectal Surgery of the First Hospital of Jilin University from April 2021 to October 2022 prospectively enrolled. Baseline patient data, tumor characteristics, and Glazer pelvic floor electromyography assessment results were collected. Predictors were identified using logistic regression, and a nomogram model was constructed. Model performance was validated using the Bootstrap method (1000 resamples). Results Among all the enrolled patients, 186 cases (47.9%) had minor or no LARS (preoperative LARS score<30) and 202 cases (52.1%) had severe LARS (preoperative LARS score ≥30). Independent predictors for severe LARS at 3 months after stoma reversal included BMI (OR=1.18, 95%CI 1.09-1.27, P<0.001), anastomotic leakage (OR=2.94, 95%CI 1.11-7.83, P=0.031), baseline defecatory dysfunction(OR=4.88, 95%CI 2.96-8.03, P<0.001), and Glazer endurance contraction value (OR=0.94, 95%CI 0.90-0.99, P=0.023). Based on the above influencing factors, a nomogram model for predicting the risk of severe LARS was constructed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model was 0.75 (95% CI 0.70-0.80). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results indicated the model fit well (χ2=9.723, P=0.285). Conclusion The predictive model developed in this study provides a practical tool for identifying high-risk patients for severe LARS at 3 months after temporary stoma reversal. It is recommended to implement prehabilitation and early pelvic floor functional interventions for high-risk populations (such as those with obesity or baseline defecatory dysfunction) to improve prognosis.
rectal cancer / low anterior resection syndrome / prediction model / nomogram / Glazer evaluation
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徐梦圆, 单天昊, 曾红梅. 2020年全球结肠癌和直肠癌发病死亡分析[J]. 江苏预防医学, 2023, 34(1): 12-16. DOI:10.13668/j.issn.1006-9070.2023.01.003.
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Colorectal surgery outcomes must be accurately assessed and aligned with patient priorities. No study to date has investigated the patient's subjective assessment of outcomes most important to them during and following their surgical recovery. Although surgeons greatly value the benefits of laparoscopy, patient priorities remain understudied.This study aimed to assess what aspects of patients' perioperative care and recovery they value most when queried in the postoperative period.This study is an exploratory cross-sectional investigation of a defined retrospective patient population. Enrollees were stratified into subcategories and analyzed, with statistical analysis performed via χ test and unpaired t test.This study was conducted at a single academic medical center in New England.Patients who underwent a colorectal surgical resection between 2009 and 2015 were selected.Patients within a preidentified population were asked to voluntarily complete a 32-item questionnaire regarding their surgical care.The primary outcomes measured were patient perioperative and postoperative quality of life and satisfaction on selected areas of functioning.Of 167 queried respondents, 92.2% were satisfied with their recovery. Factors considered most important included being cured of colorectal cancer (76%), not having a permanent stoma (78%), and avoiding complications (74%). Least important included length of stay (13%), utilization of laparoscopy (14%), and incision appearance and length (2%, 4%).The study had a relatively low response rate, the study is susceptible to responder's bias, and there is temporal variability from surgery to questionnaire within the patient population.Overall, patients reported high satisfaction with their care. Most important priorities included being free of cancer, stoma, and surgical complications. In contrast, outcomes traditionally important to surgeons such as laparoscopy, incision appearance, and length of stay were deemed less important. This research helps elucidate the outcomes patients truly consider valuable, and surgeons should focus on these outcomes when making surgical decisions. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A596. See Visual Abstract at https://tinyurl.com/yb25xl66.
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Low anterior resection syndrome (LARS) is pragmatically defined as disordered bowel function after rectal resection leading to a detriment in quality of life. This broad characterization does not allow for precise estimates of prevalence. The LARS score was designed as a simple tool for clinical evaluation of LARS. Although the LARS score has good clinical utility, it may not capture all important aspects that patients may experience. The aim of this collaboration was to develop an international consensus definition of LARS that encompasses all aspects of the condition and is informed by all stakeholders.This international patient-provider initiative used an online Delphi survey, regional patient consultation meetings, and an international consensus meeting. Three expert groups participated: patients, surgeons and other health professionals from five regions (Australasia, Denmark, Spain, Great Britain and Ireland, and North America) and in three languages (English, Spanish, and Danish). The primary outcome measured was the priorities for the definition of LARS.Three hundred twenty-five participants (156 patients) registered. The response rates for successive rounds of the Delphi survey were 86%, 96% and 99%. Eighteen priorities emerged from the Delphi survey. Patient consultation and consensus meetings refined these priorities to eight symptoms and eight consequences that capture essential aspects of the syndrome. Sampling bias may have been present, in particular, in the patient panel because social media was used extensively in recruitment. There was also dominance of the surgical panel at the final consensus meeting despite attempts to mitigate this.This is the first definition of LARS developed with direct input from a large international patient panel. The involvement of patients in all phases has ensured that the definition presented encompasses the vital aspects of the patient experience of LARS. The novel separation of symptoms and consequences may enable greater sensitivity to detect changes in LARS over time and with intervention.© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. on behalf of the American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons, by John Wiley & Sons Limited on behalf of the Association of Coloproctology of Great Britain and Ireland and by John Wiley & Sons Australia on behalf of the Royal Australasian College of Surgeons. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in anyway or used commercially without permission from the journal.
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We aimed to better understand the longitudinal course of LARS to guide patient expectations and identify those at risk of persisting dysfunction.LARS describes disordered bowel function after rectal resection that significantly impacts quality of life.MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and CINAHL databases were systematically searched for studies that enrolled adults undergoing anterior resection for rectal cancer and used the LARS score to assess bowel function ≥2 postoperative time points. Regression analyses were performed on deidentified patient-level data to identify predictors of change in LARS score from baseline (3-6 months) to 12-months and 18- to 24-months.Eight studies with a total of 701 eligible patients were included. The mean LARS score improved over time, from 29.4 (95% confidence interval 28.6-30.1) at baseline to 16.6 at 36 months (95% confidence interval 14.2%-18.9%). On multivariable analysis, a greater improvement in mean LARS score between baseline and 12 months was associated with no ileostomy formation [mean difference (MD) -1.7 vs 1.7, P < 0.001], and presence of LARS (major vs minor vs no LARS) at baseline (MD -3.8 vs -1.7 vs 5.4, P < 0.001). Greater improvement in mean LARS score between baseline and 18 and 24 months was associated with PME vs total mesorectal excision (MD -8.6 vs 1.5, P < 0.001) and presence of LARS (major vs minor vs no LARS) at baseline (MD -8.8 vs -5.3 vs 3.4, P < 0.001).LARS improves by 18 months postoperatively then remains stable for up to 3 years. Total mesorectal excision, neoadjuvant radiotherapy, and ileostomy formation negatively impact upon bowel function recovery.Copyright © 2022 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.
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贾国璞, 丁佩剑, 郑鑫, 等. 直肠癌低位前切除综合征对患者心理、生理功能及生活质量的影响[J]. 中华普通外科杂志, 2023, 38(2): 90-95. DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn113855-20220304-00124.
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The benefit of radiotherapy for rectal cancer is largely based on a balance between decrease in local recurrence and increase in bowel dysfunction. Predicting postoperative disability is helpful for recovery plans and early intervention. We aimed to develop and validate a risk model to improve the prediction of major bowel dysfunction after restorative rectal cancer resection with neoadjuvant radiotherapy using perioperative features.Eligible patients more than one year after restorative resection following radiotherapy were invited to complete the low anterior resection syndrome (LARS) score in three national hospitals of China. Clinical characteristics and imaging parameters were assessed with machine learning algorithms. The post-radiotherapy LARS prediction model (PORTLARS) was constructed by logistic regression on the basis of key factors with proportional weighs. The accuracy of model for major LARS prediction was internally and externally validated.A total of 868 patients reported mean LARS score of 28.4 after average time of 4.7 years since surgery. Key predictors for major LARS included the length of distal rectum, anastomotic leakage, proximal colon of neorectum, and pathological nodal-stage. PORTLARS had a favorable area under the curve for predicting major LARS in the internal dataset (0.835, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.800-0.870, n=521) and external dataset (0.884, 95% CI 0.848-0.921, n=347). The model achieved both sensitivity and specificity over 0.83 in the external validation. Additionally, PORTLARS outperformed the pre-operative LARS score for prediction of major events.PORTLARS could predict major bowel dysfunction after rectal cancer resection following radiotherapy with high accuracy and robustness. It may serve as a useful tool to highlight patients who need additional support for long-term dysfunction in the early stage.Copyright © 2023 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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江苏省中西医结合学会盆底疾病专业委员会, 上海市医师协会肛肠专业委员会, 北京整合医学学会盆底疾病专业委员会, 等. 盆底功能障碍性疾病诊断及康复治疗专家共识[J]. 中华临床医师杂志(电子版), 2024, 18(2): 113-121. DOI: 10.3877/cma.j.issn.1674-0785.2024.02.001.
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The aim of this study was to develop and validate a scoring system for bowel dysfunction after low anterior resection (LAR) for rectal cancer, on the basis of symptoms and impact on quality of life (QoL).LAR for rectal cancer often results in severe bowel dysfunction (LAR syndrome [LARS]) with incontinence, urgency, and frequent bowel movements. Several studies have investigated functional outcome, but the terminology is inconsistent hereby complicating comparison of results.Questionnaires regarding bowel function was sent to all 1143 LAR patients eligible for inclusion identified in the national Colorectal Cancer Database. Associations between items and QoL were computed by binomial regression analyses. The important items were selected and regression analysis was performed to find the adjusted risk ratios. Individual score values were designated items to form the LARS score, which was divided into "no LARS," "minor LARS," and "major LARS." Validity was tested by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Spearman's rank correlation and discriminant validity was tested by Student t tests.A total of 961 patients returned completed questionnaires. The 5 most important items were "incontinence for flatus," "incontinence for liquid stools," "frequency," "clustering," and "urgency." The range (0-42) was divided into 0 to 20 (no LARS), 21 to 29 (minor LARS), and 30 to 42 (major LARS). The score showed good correlation and a high sensitivity (72.54%) and specificity (82.52%) for major LARS. Discriminant validity showed significant differences between groups with and without radiotherapy (P < 0.0001), tumor height more or less than 5 cm (P < 0.0001), and total mesorectal excision/partial mesorectal excision (P = 0.0163).We have constructed a valid and reliable LARS score correlated to QoL--a simple tool for quick clinical evaluation of the severity of LARS.
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廖姣姣, 陶立元, 许璐, 等. 二分类或生存结局时预测模型建立研究的样本量计算[J]. 中华儿科杂志, 2023, 61(9): 804. DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112140-20230717-00452.
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Low anterior resection (LAR) with total mesorectal excision (TME) for mid and low rectal cancer is standard of care, reducing local recurrence and enhancing long-term survival. However, this surgery is associated with a constellation of major defecatory problems that are collectively referred to as low anterior resection syndrome (LARS). The aims of this study were to evaluate the frequency of LARS in patients who have undergone LAR and to assess the impact of LARS on long-term quality of life (QoL).This was a single-center prospective survey study on patients who underwent LAR and TME for low or mid rectal cancer between 2007 and 2015. LARS score and QLQ-C30 questionnaires were used to evaluate patient's bowel functions and quality of life, respectively. Associations between LARS and QoL were evaluated.Fifty-seven patients out of 65 eligible agreed to participate in the study. Forty-three (66%) patients returned complete questionnaires. Five patients (11.6%) had no LARS, 7 had minor LARS (16.3%), and 31 had major LARS (72.1%). In univariate analysis, BMI > 30 kg/m was predictive of major LARS (p = 0.047). Major LARS did not impair global QoL (p = 0.75), function scores, or social scales, and was not associated with any of the symptom scores except for diarrhea (p = 0.02).LARS is a frequent occurrence after LAR and TME for rectal cancer (72.1%) and is more prevalent in morbidly obese patients. However, the occurrence of LARS does not appear to have a direct impact on QoL except for the occurrence of diarrhea.
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To explore the impact of visceral obesity (VO) measured by preoperative abdominal computed tomography (CT) on postoperative infectious complications for colorectal cancer (CRC) patients and establish a predictive model.Patients who underwent resection for colorectal cancer between January 2015 and January 2021 were enrolled in this study. All patients were measured for body mass index (BMI) and visceral fat area (VFA) preoperatively. Infectious complications were compared between the different groups according to BMI and VO categories. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to analyze whether VO was an independent risk factor for postoperative infectious complications. According to the results of logistic regression, six machine learning approaches were used to establish predictive models and perform internal validation. The best-performing model was interpreted by the SHAPley Additive exPlanations value.Approximately 64.81% of 520 patients had VO. VO was significantly connected with postoperative infectious complications (P < 0.001), coronary heart disease (P = 0.004), cerebral infarction (P = 0.001), hypertension (P < 0.001), diabetes (P < 0.001), and fatty liver (P < 0.001). The rates of wound infection (P = 0.048), abdominal or pelvic infection (P = 0.006), and pneumonia (P = 0.008) increased obviously in patients with VO. Compared to the low BMI group, a high BMI was found to be significantly associated with hypertension (P=0.007), fatty liver (P<0.001), and a higher rate of postoperative infection (P=0.003). The results of logistic regression revealed that VO (OR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.17 ~ 3.48, P = 0.012), operation time ≥ 4 h (OR = 2.52, 95% CI 1.60 ~ 3.97, P < 0.001), smoking (OR = 2.04, 95% CI 1.16 ~ 3.59, P = 0.014), ostomy (OR = 1.65, 95% CI 1.04 ~ 2.61, P = 0.033), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR = 2.23, 95% CI 1.09 ~ 4.57, P = 0.029) were independent risk factors. The light gradient boosting machine (LGBM) model displayed the largest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (0.74, 95% CI 0.68 ~ 0.81).In this study, VO was superior to BMI in evaluating the influence of obesity on metabolic comorbidities and postoperative infectious complications in colorectal cancer patients.© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.
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The etiology of LARS has not been elaborated on clearly. Studies have reported neoadjuvant therapy, low-lying rectal cancers, adjuvant therapy and anastomotic leakage as risk factors for the development of LARS. Anastomotic level has also been proposed as a possible risk factor; However, there have been conflicting results. This study aims to evaluate the role of the level of anastomosis as a potential risk factor for the development of LARS.A systematic literature search was conducted on Pubmed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases using Mesh terms and non-Mesh terms from 2012 to 2023. Original English studies conducted on rectal cancer patients reporting of anastomotic level and LARS status were included in this study. Eligible studies were assessed regarding quality control with Joanna-Briggs Institute (JBI) questionnaires.A total of 396 articles were found using the research queries, and after applying selection criteria 4 articles were selected. A sample population of 808 patients were included in this study with a mean age of 61.51 years with male patients consisting 59.28% of the cases. The Mean assessment time was 15.6 months which revealed a mean prevalence of 48.89% for LAR syndrome. Regression analysis revealed significantly increased risk of LAR syndrome development due to low anastomosis level in all 4 studies with odds ratios of 5.336 (95% CI:3.197-8.907), 3.76 (95% CI: 1.34-10.61), 1.145 (95% CI: 1.141-2.149) and 2.11 (95% CI: 1.05-4.27) for low anastomoses and 4.34 (95% CI: 1.05-18.04) for ultralow anastomoses.LARS is a long-term complication following surgery, leading to reduced quality of life. Low anastomosis level has been reported as a possible risk factor. All of the studies in this systematic review were associated with an increased risk of LARS development among patients with low anastomosis.© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.
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There is no established treatment of choice for low anterior resection syndrome (LARS). To evaluate the efficacy of biofeedback therapy for objective improvement of pelvic function in LARS, we performed the present study.The primary endpoint was the change of Wexner score. Consenting patients between 20 and 80 years old with major LARS at least 2 months after sphincter preserving proctectomy for rectal cancer were enrolled. After recommendation of biofeedback therapy, patients who accept it were enrolled in the biofeedback group and patients who refuse were enrolled in the control group. Initial and follow-up evaluations were performed and analyzed.Fifteen and sixteen patients were evaluated in the control group and the biofeedback group, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference of LARS score between both groups. Decrease in Wexner score and increase in rectal capacity were significantly higher in the biofeedback group (odds ratio [OR], 5.386; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.194-24.287; P = 0.028 and OR, 1.061; 95% CI, 1.002-1.123; P = 0.042).Biofeedback therapy was superior for objective improvement of pelvic function to observation in LARS. It can be considered to induce more rapid improvement of major LARS.Copyright © 2019, the Korean Surgical Society.
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张登云, 高玉熙, 张凯, 等. 直肠LARS危险因素分析及风险预测模型构建[J]. 青岛大学学报(医学版), 2022, 58(6): 812-817.DOI: 10.11712/jms.2096-5532.2022.58.192.
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中华医学会外科学分会结直肠外科学组. 中国结直肠癌手术病人营养治疗指南(2025版)[J]. 中国实用外科杂志, 2025, 45(2): 137-148. DOI: 10.19538/j.cjps.issn1005-2208.2025.02.03.
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孙佳男, 胡海燕, 殷欣, 等. 基于时机理论的直肠癌患者低位前切除综合征预防干预效果研究[J]. 中国护理管理, 2023, 23(12): 1761-1767. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-1756.2023.12.001.
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Bowel dysfunction is common following a restorative rectal cancer resection, but symptom severity and the degree of quality of life impairment is highly variable. An internationally validated patient-reported outcome measure, Low Anterior Resection Syndrome (LARS) score, now enables these symptoms to be measured. The study purpose was: (1) to develop a model that predicts postoperative bowel function; (2) externally validate the model and (3) incorporate these findings into a nomogram and online tool in order to individualise patient counselling and aid preoperative consent.Patients more than 1 year after curative restorative anterior resection (UK, median 54 months; Denmark (DK), 56 months since surgery) were invited to complete The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire - Core 30 version3 (EORTC QLQ-C30 v3), LARS and Wexner incontinence scores. Demographics, tumour characteristics, preoperative/postoperative treatment and surgical procedures were recorded. Using transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines, risk factors for bowel dysfunction were independently assessed by advanced linear regression shrinkage techniques for each dataset (UK:DK).Patients in the development (UK, n=463) and validation (DK, n=938) datasets reported mean (SD) LARS scores of 26 (11) and 24 (11), respectively. Key predictive factors for LARS were: age (at surgery); tumour height, total versus partial mesorectal excision, stoma and preoperative radiotherapy, with satisfactory model calibration and a Mallow's Cp of 7.5 and 5.5, respectively.The Pre-Operative LARS score (POLARS) is the first nomogram and online tool to predict bowel dysfunction severity prior to anterior resection. Colorectal surgeons, gastroenterologist and nurse specialists may use POLARS to help patients understand their risk of bowel dysfunction and to preoperatively highlight patients who may require additional postoperative support.Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/.
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孟聪, 李杨, 石晋瑶, 等. 中低位直肠癌术中经肛门腔镜下加固缝合吻合口单中心研究[J]. 中国实用外科杂志, 2023, 43(10): 1147-1151. DOI: 10.19538/j.cjps.issn1005-2208.2023.10.16.
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