关键词: 胰腺肿瘤, 术后胰瘘, 预测模型, 风险评分

Abstract: The progress on prediction model of pancreatic fistula               LIU Jiang，WANG Wei. Department of Pancreatic Surgery，Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center；Department of Oncology，Shanghai Medical College，Fudan University；Shanghai Pancreatic Cancer Institute；Pancreatic Cancer Institute，Fudan University，Shanghai 200032，China 
Corresponding author：WANG Wei，E-mail：wangwei@fudanpci.org
Abstract    With the continuous development of medical technology, the safety of pancreatic surgery has gradually improved, but the incidence of pancreatic fistula after pancreatic surgery has not significantly decreased. Accurate prediction of POPF can optimize individual treatment regimens, effectively reducing the occurrence of pancreatic fistula. The research on prediction models of POPF abroad has been carried out earlier, mostly in multicenter with large samples, with strong predictive ability and clinical practicality, but it may not be suitable for the Asian population. Relevant research in China has mainly focused on the past 5 years, and although most of them are retrospective studies from a single center, the population representation is fine. The main direction of future research is to conduct multicenter prospective clinical research around high-risk factors before surgery and establish a predictive model of POPF suitable for the Chinese population.

Key words: pancreatic neoplasms postoperative pancreatic fistula prediction model risk score