中国实用儿科杂志

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危重新生儿评分对转运新生儿的病情评估

张莉张先红黄元英华子瑜   

  1. 作者单位:重庆医科大学附属儿童医院新生儿科,重庆 400014
  • 出版日期:2014-08-06 发布日期:2014-07-28
  • 通讯作者:
  • 基金资助:

    2011年度国家临床重点专科建设项目[卫办医政函2011(873号)]

Critical neonatal scoring in assessing severity of transported neonates.

ZHANG LiZHANG Xian-hongHUANG Yuan-yingHUA Zi-yu.   

  1. Department of Neonatology,Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,Chongqing 400014,China
  • Online:2014-08-06 Published:2014-07-28

摘要:

目的 比较新生儿转运生理稳定指数(TRIPS)、新生儿急性生理评分-Ⅱ(SNAP-Ⅱ)、围产期-新生儿急性生理评分-Ⅱ(SNAPPE-Ⅱ)早期评估转运新生儿病情的准确性。方法 收集2012-01-01—2012-12-31由重庆医科大学附属儿童医院急救中心转运入住本病房新生儿的临床资料进行回顾性分析,比较TRIPS、SNAP-Ⅱ和SNAPPE-Ⅱ等对7 d内死亡、重度脑室内出血(≥Ⅲ级)以及需要机械通气(MV)的预测准确性。结果 共475例新生儿纳入统计。Hosmer-Lemeshow 拟合度检验提示三种评分系统模型均有较好的拟合度(P>0.05),P值分别为0.73 (TRIPS), 0.30(SNAP-Ⅱ)和0.27(SNAPPE-Ⅱ),TRIPS拟合最好。TRIPS、SNAP-Ⅱ、SNAPPE-Ⅱ预测7 d内死亡的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.80,0.82,0.84,预测重度脑室内出血的AUC分别为0.70,0.69,0.83,预测MV的AUC分别为0.72,0.72和0.74;各评分系统预测准确度差异均无统计学意义(P>0.05)。ROC曲线截点分析提示,TRIPS≥20分时,7 d内死亡、需要MV预测的敏感度分别为89.1%,72.5%,特异度分别为57.7%,66.8%。结论 与SNAP-Ⅱ、SNAPPE-Ⅱ及NCIS相比,TRIPS评分操作更简便易行,适于临床使用,对新生儿转运后7 d内死亡、重度脑室内出血及MV发生率预测的准确性较高。

关键词: 转运新生儿, 7d内死亡, 重度脑室内出血, 机械通气, 病情评估

Abstract:

Abstract:Objective To evaluate the performance of the Transport Risk Index of Physiologic Stability(TRIPS),Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology,Version Ⅱ(SNAP-Ⅱ) and Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology-Perinatal Extension, Version Ⅱ(SNAPPE-Ⅱ) for severity of transported neonates. Methods The study enrolled the neonates transported to Department of Neonatology, Children’s Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from Jan.1 to Dec. 31 of 2012. The clinical data were collected and analyzed retrospectively to compare the prediction accuracy of 7-day mortality,severe (≥Grade Ⅲ) intra-ventricular hemorrhage(IVH) and mechanical ventilation(MV). Results Totally 475 neonates were enrolled.Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration of the TRIPS(P = 0.73),SNAP-Ⅱ(P = 0.30) and SNAPPE-Ⅱ(P = 0.27),and the TRIPS was the best. TRIPS,SNAP-Ⅱand SNAPPE-Ⅱ discriminated 7-day mortality with receiver operating characteristic area(AUC) of 0.80,0.82 and 0.84,respectively,whereas the predictive performance for severe IVH was 0.70, 0.69 and 0.83,and the performance for MV 0.72,0.72 and 0.74,respectively. There was no significant difference among these three scoring systems(P>0.05). With the cut-off value of 20 points, the sensibility of TRIPS predicting 7-day mortality and MV was 89.1% and 72.5%,respectively,whereas the specificity 57.7% and 66.8%. Conclusion Compared with SNAP-Ⅱ,SNAPPE-Ⅱ and NCIS,TRIPS is more suitable for quick severity evaluation due to its simplicity and feasibility,especially in accurately predicting 7-day mortality,severe IVH and MV of transported neonates.

Key words: transported neonates;7-day mortality;severe intra-ventricular hemorrhage; mechanical ventilation, severity evaluation

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